This contribution should be viewed in the same light as a message on the message board – it is anonymous opinion that has not been reviewed or approved by AMIPP officials.

 

How safe is YOUR pension?

 

During the years you loyally and diligently worked your employer told you how good their pension scheme was so you paid your contributions, perhaps added some AVC’s, possibly bought some shares in your company on favourable terms and even put away a bit more in PEP’s and ISA’s. You did all the things you were advised to by your company’s pensions department and you’d got your retirement finances all planned out.  Or so you thought – until now.

 

Hot on the heels of the demise of the final salary pension comes a new twist hot footing its way across the Atlantic and led by IBM.  Last year IBM UK Pension Trustees were told by IBM US to cut pensions in payment for its existing and future pensioners who were in the defined benefits scheme.  There was no consultation with The Association of Members of IBM UK Pension Plans (AMIPP)  – IBM doesn’t do consultation with retirees according to Jonathan Ferrar, Director of Human Resources UK, Ireland & South Africa – so it just announced the cuts on the basis that the corporation could no longer afford to continue to honour its decades old formula for awarding increases to pensions in payment which weren’t madly generous to start with.  IBM Corporation expects to save around $3 billion by freezing benefits for its existing worldwide employees and now a bit more with these cuts to pensions in payment between now and 2010.

 

(Full UK announcement is publicly available on:

 

http://www-05.ibm.com/employment/uk/pensions/pension_proposals_mainplan_jan2006.html)

 

In contrast to claims that IBM can no longer afford to pay its pensioners what they were told for decades they would receive it’s instructive to read IBM’s 2006 annual report it which boasted that it:

 

1. Forecasts a 50% uplift in revenues in the next 4 years

2. Achieved gross profits at the highest for 10 years and

3. Increased dividends for the 11th year

 

All this against a background of significant growth in the stock market over the last four years and therefore in IBM’s pension funds. 

 

As if this wasn’t insult enough to its pensioners in April this year IBM announced a $15 BILLION share buyback plan.  Let me repeat - $15 B I L L I O N – that’s 8% of the issued shares.

 

(Full announcement is publicly available on:

http://www.ibm.com/investor/viewpoint/ircorner/2007/07-04-24-1.phtml and

http://www.ibm.com/investor/viewpoint/ircorner/2007/07-05-29-1.phtml

 

Since 1995 IBM has spent $80 billion on its stock buybacks.  Why? If they’re such a bargain it’s odd no-one else seems to noticed and snapped them up. The real reason is that by reducing the number of shares in circulation it increases the company’s earnings per share (EPS) as there are fewer of them. This means IBM can pay a larger dividend per remaining share and gives the company more shares to distribute in stock options to executives on favourable terms, albeit on this occasion at the expense of loading the balance sheet with debt as the company had to borrow the money to fund the share buyback.  All jolly good news for CEO Sam Palmisano whose own pension is estimated to be approximately $10,000 a DAY when he reaches 65 as it pushes up the value of his stock options as well as increasing his dividend payments.  This is such a good idea IBM has been spending about $100 million a day buying its own shares on the open market and has indicated it will continue with more of the same in 2008.  Well wouldn’t you if you could? 

 

To put $15 billion of  repurchases into perspective this is approximately two and a half times what IBM spends annually on research and development and 5X the savings from cuts to the pension scheme.  And by the way, IBM’s day to day business generated $15 billion in cash last year. 

 

So who says IBM can’t afford to pay its pensioners?  The same IBM executives who chose to take pension holidays in the good times thus contributing to the pensions deficits in the hard times and the same IBM executives who stand to benefit from improved earnings per share -EPS and any resulting share value increase to which their incentive schemes are linked – that’s who. The same IBM execs who haven’t been able to think of anything better to spend the money on to grow revenues as well as earnings for the last 12 years.  The same execs who presided over IBM’s fall from 29th place in 2005 to 42nd place in 2006 in the Fortune 500. Just think if they’d had the wit to buy Google shares!

 

What was it Anthony Robbins said? “If you do what you've always done, you'll get what you've always gotten.”

 

We’ve seen how slashing retirees and soon to be retired employees pensions help pay for these buybacks but have to ask if these share buybacks been good for IBM shareholders in general?  Well IBM’s shares gained 73 cents on the day of the news: hardly a ringing endorsement from Wall Street although they have gone up since. Then if you buy back 8% of issued shares you would expect the share price to increase wouldn’t you?  A look at the first chart shows that in the short term IBM’s shares have been rising in dollar terms although this has to be largely offset for UK & European shareholders by the fall in the US Dollar. However a look at the second chart casts doubt that this strategy really works so it probably hasn’t even been good news for shareholders.

 

Chart

Chart

 

If you don’t work for IBM why should you be concerned?  Firstly, if you’re still lucky enough to be in a defined benefits pensions scheme it’s worth reminding yourself that your pension is deferred payment for past work based upon a set of rules applied at the time of your employment to be competitive with other employers to attract and retain the right quality of employees - you. It’s bad enough to change the ‘rules of the game’ for existing employees by reducing the rate at which their pension accumulates for each year worked and then by closing the scheme but it is contemptible to change the basis of payment for pensioners who had a clear and reasonable expectation for all the years they worked of the value of the pension they would receive in retirement especially, as in IBM’s case, when it clearly can afford to honour its responsibilities to existing pensioners if it so chooses. 

 

Be warned, this is already spreading to other major US Corporations – and now it’s a Trans-Atlantic import coming to a place near you soon. And by the way, if you’re in a defined contributions scheme, what’s to stop your employer one day telling you that it can no longer afford to make its contribution? Don’t think the government will help you.  In a reply from the DWP to a query about IBM’s pensions in payment cuts a government spokesman said there’s nothing they can do about it. 

 

Actions like this from rich successful companies send out the wrong signals to other companies.  Worst of all if (when) inflation does rear its ugly head in the future the government of the day may well find itself with a generation of people whose pensions have been savagely cut needing to apply for state benefits, something no-one expected, and the same people at the DWP today needn’t bother about as they’ll be long gone with their index linked pensions paid for by the rest of us.  At least that’s what they expect but even they might be unlucky if the government follows the lead from the Bank of England, reported in the DT on 7th July, to close its defined benefits system.  After all, it’s only a short step for the BoE to cut pensions in payment one day.

 

Be warned. It could happen to you next.